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VEN Βενεζουέλα - Σεγούντα Ντιβισιόν · Αγώνας ·

Ουρένα SC vs Μπαρκισιμέντο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου33%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ουρένα SCΜπαρκισιμέντο
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω71% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 28% / 33%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271.7%1.39
Άνω 29% · Κάτω 71%Goals 2.5Κάτω71%1.41
Ναι 37% · Όχι 63%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι63%1.59
1.88 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapΟυρένα SC winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ουρένα SC win39%2.562.3038.9%+0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
Μπαρκισιμέντο win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ουρένα SC1.06

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 29% · Κάτω 71%

Μπαρκισιμέντο0.82

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 37% · Όχι 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ουρένα SC

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μπαρκισιμέντο

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
33%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.82
Ουρένα SCΜπαρκισιμέντο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ουρένα SC signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μπαρκισιμέντο signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ουρένα SC vs Μπαρκισιμέντο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ουρένα SC νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Μπαρκισιμέντο νίκη 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Άνω 2.5 29% · Current selection Κάτω