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VEN ベネズエラ セグンダ・ディビシオン · 試合 ·

ウレニャSC vs バルキシメト

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利39%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ウレニャSCバルキシメト
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
39% / 28% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)ダブルチャンス1271.7%1.39
オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%Goals 2.5アンダー71%1.41
はい 37% · いいえ 63%両チーム得点いいえ63%1.59
1.88 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapウレニャSC winDifference+0.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ウレニャSC win39%2.562.3038.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2028%0.0 pp
バルキシメト win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ウレニャSC1.06

ホーム share of expected goals 56.4%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%

バルキシメト0.82

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 37% · いいえ 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ウレニャSC

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

バルキシメト

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
11
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.82
ウレニャSCバルキシメト
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ウレニャSC signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02バルキシメト signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ウレニャSC vs バルキシメト FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ウレニャSC 勝ち 39%,引き分け 28%,バルキシメト 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · オーバー 2.5 29% · Current selection アンダー