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VEN ベネズエラ セグンダ・ディビシオン · 試合 ·

アトレティコ・バリナス vs サモラII

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–24.66 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–2アトレティコ・バリナスサモラII
Expected goals4.66始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー84% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい82% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 26% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.4%)ダブルチャンス1273.6%1.36
オーバー 84% · アンダー 16%Goals 2.5オーバー84%1.19
はい 82% · いいえ 18%両チーム得点はい82%1.22
4.66 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-1.1 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アトレティコ・バリナス win40%2.502.2539.8%+0.2 pp
引き分け26%3.853.3027.1%-1.1 pp
サモラII win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アトレティコ・バリナス2.41

ホーム share of expected goals 51.7%

Total expected goals4.66始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 84% · アンダー 16%

サモラII2.25

アウェイ share of expected goals 48.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 82% · いいえ 18%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・バリナス

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム won 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

サモラII

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
7
2.41
Expected goals
2.25
アトレティコ・バリナスサモラII
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アトレティコ・バリナス signalホーム won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02サモラII signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

アトレティコ・バリナス vs サモラII FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アトレティコ・バリナス 勝ち 40%,引き分け 26%,サモラII 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.66 · オーバー 2.5 84% · Current selection オーバー