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NLD Nederländerna - Eerste Divisie · Match ·

AZ reserver vs FC Eindhoven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.63 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–2AZ reserverFC Eindhoven
Expected goals3.63Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över70% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 24% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Dubbelchans1275.5%1.32
Över 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Över70%1.43
Ja 69% · Nej 31%Båda lagen gör målJa69%1.45
3.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
11.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ reserver win46%2.172.0545.9%+0.1 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.8024.7%-0.7 pp
FC Eindhoven win29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ reserver2.05

Hemma share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals3.63Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 70% · Under 30%

FC Eindhoven1.58

Borta share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 69% · Nej 31%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

AZ reserver

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Eindhoven

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.05
Expected goals
1.58
AZ reserverFC Eindhoven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ reserver signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Eindhoven signalHemma won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

AZ reserver vs FC Eindhoven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ reserver vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 24%,FC Eindhoven vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · Över 2.5 70% · Current selection Över