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NLD Paesi Bassi - Eerste Divisie · Partita ·

AZ riserve vs FC Eindhoven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.63 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa46%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa46% selection probability
Projected score2–2AZ riserveFC Eindhoven
Expected goals3.63Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra70% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
46% / 24% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Doppia Chance1275.5%1.32
Sopra 70% · Sotto 30%Goals 2.5Sopra70%1.43
Sì 69% · No 31%Entrambe le squadre segnano69%1.45
3.63 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ riserve win46%2.172.0545.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.8024.7%-0.7 pp
FC Eindhoven win29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ riserve2.05

Casa share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals3.63Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 70% · Sotto 30%

FC Eindhoven1.58

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 69% · No 31%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

AZ riserve

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FC Eindhoven

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.05
Expected goals
1.58
AZ riserveFC Eindhoven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ riserve signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Eindhoven signalCasa won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

AZ riserve vs FC Eindhoven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ riserve vinta 46%,Pareggio 24%,FC Eindhoven vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · Sopra 2.5 70% · Current selection Sopra