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NLD Pays-Bas - Eerste Divisie · Match ·

AZ - Réserves vs FC Eindhoven

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.63 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–2AZ - RéservesFC Eindhoven
Expected goals3.63Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui70% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 25% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%Goals 2.5Plus de70%1.43
Oui 70% · Non 30%Les deux équipes marquentOui70%1.43
3.63 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapFC Eindhoven winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AZ - Réserves win46%2.172.0545.9%+0.1 pp
Nul25%4.003.8024.7%+0.3 pp
FC Eindhoven win29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AZ - Réserves2.05

Domicile share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals3.63Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%

FC Eindhoven1.58

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 70% · Non 30%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AZ - Réserves

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Eindhoven

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
12
Points from supplied form
5
2.05
Expected goals
1.58
AZ - RéservesFC Eindhoven
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AZ - Réserves signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Eindhoven signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

AZ - Réserves vs FC Eindhoven FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AZ - Réserves victoire 46%,Nul 25%,FC Eindhoven victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · Plus de 2.5 70% · Current selection Plus de