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COL Colombia - Primera A · Match ·

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.55 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger23%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger48%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger48% selection probability
Projected score1–2Jaguares de CordobaOnce Caldas
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
23% / 29% / 48%MatchresultatBortaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jaguares de Cordoba win (23%)DubbelchansX277%1.30
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målJa50%2.00
2.55 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.2 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapOnce Caldas winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jaguares de Cordoba win23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.2528.9%+0.1 pp
Once Caldas win48%2.081.9548.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jaguares de Cordoba1.01

Hemma share of expected goals 39.6%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Once Caldas1.54

Borta share of expected goals 60.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Jaguares de Cordoba

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Once Caldas

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
48%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.01
Expected goals
1.54
Jaguares de CordobaOnce Caldas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jaguares de Cordoba signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Once Caldas signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jaguares de Cordoba vunnen 23%,Oavgjort 29%,Once Caldas vunnen 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under