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COL Colombie - Primera A · Match ·

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Once Caldas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.55 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile23%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur48%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur48% selection probability
Projected score1–2Jaguares de CórdobaOnce Caldas
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
23% / 29% / 48%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jaguares de Córdoba win (23%)Double chanceX277%1.30
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
2.55 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapOnce Caldas winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jaguares de Córdoba win23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Nul29%3.453.2528.9%+0.1 pp
Once Caldas win48%2.081.9548.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jaguares de Córdoba1.01

Domicile share of expected goals 39.6%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

Once Caldas1.54

Extérieur share of expected goals 60.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Jaguares de Córdoba

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Once Caldas

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gagné probability excluding draw
48%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.01
Expected goals
1.54
Jaguares de CórdobaOnce Caldas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jaguares de Córdoba signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Once Caldas signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Jaguares de Córdoba vs Once Caldas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jaguares de Córdoba victoire 23%,Nul 29%,Once Caldas victoire 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de