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COL Colombia Primera A · Fixture ·

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win23%
Draw29%
Away win48%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score1–2Jaguares de CordobaOnce Caldas
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 29% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jaguares de Cordoba win (23%)Double chanceX277%1.30
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapOnce Caldas winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jaguares de Cordoba win23%4.354.1022.9%+0.1 pp
Draw29%3.453.2528.9%+0.1 pp
Once Caldas win48%2.081.9548.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jaguares de Cordoba1.01

Home share of expected goals 39.6%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Once Caldas1.54

Away share of expected goals 60.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Jaguares de Cordoba

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Once Caldas

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.01
Expected goals
1.54
Jaguares de CordobaOnce Caldas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jaguares de Cordoba signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Once Caldas signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Jaguares de Cordoba vs Once Caldas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jaguares de Cordoba win 23%,Draw 29%,Once Caldas win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under