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BRA Brazil Serie B · Match ·

Operario PR vs Sao Bernardo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger48%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger23%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Operario PRSao Bernardo
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
48% / 29% / 23%MatchresultatHemmaseger48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Bernardo win (22.7%)Dubbelchans1X77.3%1.29
Över 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Över57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nej 40%Båda lagen gör målJa60%1.67
2.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapSao Bernardo winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Operario PR win48%2.081.9548.6%-0.6 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.2029.6%-0.6 pp
Sao Bernardo win23%4.354.3321.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Operario PR1.56

Hemma share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 57% · Under 43%

Sao Bernardo1.42

Borta share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nej 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Operario PR

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sao Bernardo

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
1.42
Operario PRSao Bernardo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Operario PR signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Bernardo signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Operario PR vs Sao Bernardo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Operario PR vunnen 48%,Oavgjort 29%,Sao Bernardo vunnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Över 2.5 57% · Current selection Över