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BRA Brazil Serie B · Partida ·

Operário Ferroviário FC vs São Bernardo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa49%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante22%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Operário Ferroviário FCSão Bernardo
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
49% / 29% / 22%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes São Bernardo win (21.9%)Dupla Chance1X78.1%1.28
Acima 57% · Abaixo 43%Goals 2.5Acima57%1.75
Sim 60% · Não 40%Ambas as equipes marcamSim60%1.67
2.98 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
10.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.1%Largest probability gapSão Bernardo winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Operário Ferroviário FC win49%2.041.9049.6%-0.6 pp
Empate29%3.453.2029.5%-0.5 pp
São Bernardo win22%4.554.5020.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Operário Ferroviário FC1.56

Mandante share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 57% · Abaixo 43%

São Bernardo1.42

Visitante share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 60% · Não 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Operário Ferroviário FC

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

São Bernardo

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
1.42
Operário Ferroviário FCSão Bernardo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Operário Ferroviário FC signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02São Bernardo signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Operário Ferroviário FC vs São Bernardo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Operário Ferroviário FC ganhou 49%,Empate 29%,São Bernardo ganhou 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Acima 2.5 57% · Current selection Acima