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BRA Brazil Serie B · Match ·

Operario PR vs Sao Bernardo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur23%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Operario PRSao Bernardo
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 29% / 23%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sao Bernardo win (23.2%)Double chance1X76.8%1.30
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
2.98 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapSao Bernardo winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Operario PR win48%2.081.9548.2%-0.2 pp
Nul29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Sao Bernardo win23%4.354.2022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Operario PR1.56

Domicile share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Sao Bernardo1.42

Extérieur share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Operario PR

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sao Bernardo

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
1.42
Operario PRSao Bernardo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Operario PR signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Bernardo signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Operario PR vs Sao Bernardo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Operario PR victoire 48%,Nul 29%,Sao Bernardo victoire 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de