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EST Estland - Esiliiga B · Final ·

Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Tabasalu

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score6–0Prognos 4–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger69%
Oavgjort16%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger69% selection probability
Projected score4–1Parnu JK Vaprus IIJK Tabasalu
Expected goals5.04Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över88% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa73% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
69% / 16% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Tabasalu win (15.2%)Dubbelchans1X84.8%1.18
Över 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Över88%1.14
Ja 73% · Nej 27%Båda lagen gör målJa73%1.37
5.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–1
11.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapParnu JK Vaprus II winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parnu JK Vaprus II win69%1.451.3367.9%+1.1 pp
Oavgjort16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
JK Tabasalu win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parnu JK Vaprus II3.66

Hemma share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals5.04Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 88% · Under 12%

JK Tabasalu1.38

Borta share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 73% · Nej 27%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus II

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

JK Tabasalu

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
2
Points from supplied form
4
3.66
Expected goals
1.38
Parnu JK Vaprus IIJK Tabasalu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parnu JK Vaprus II signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Tabasalu signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Tabasalu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 4–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parnu JK Vaprus II vunnen 69%,Oavgjort 16%,JK Tabasalu vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · Över 2.5 88% · Current selection Över