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EST Estonie - Esiliiga B · Final ·

Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Tabasalu

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score6–0Pronostic 4–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile69%
Nul16%
Victoire à l’extérieur15%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile69% selection probability
Projected score4–1Parnu JK Vaprus IIJK Tabasalu
Expected goals5.04Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de88% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui73% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
69% / 16% / 15%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Tabasalu win (15.2%)Double chance1X84.8%1.18
Plus de 88% · Moins de 12%Goals 2.5Plus de88%1.14
Oui 73% · Non 27%Les deux équipes marquentOui73%1.37
5.04 total expected goalsScore exact4–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapParnu JK Vaprus II winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parnu JK Vaprus II win69%1.451.3367.9%+1.1 pp
Nul16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
JK Tabasalu win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parnu JK Vaprus II3.66

Domicile share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals5.04Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 88% · Moins de 12%

JK Tabasalu1.38

Extérieur share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitOui 73% · Non 27%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus II

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

JK Tabasalu

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Gagné probability excluding draw
15%
2
Points from supplied form
4
3.66
Expected goals
1.38
Parnu JK Vaprus IIJK Tabasalu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parnu JK Vaprus II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Tabasalu signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Tabasalu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 4–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parnu JK Vaprus II victoire 69%,Nul 16%,JK Tabasalu victoire 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · Plus de 2.5 88% · Current selection Plus de