Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
69% / 16% / 15%Match resultHome win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Tabasalu win (15.2%)Double chance1X84.8%1.18
Over 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Over88%1.14
Yes 73% · No 27%Both teams scoreYes73%1.37
5.04 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1——
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapParnu JK Vaprus II winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parnu JK Vaprus II win69%1.451.3367.9%+1.1 pp
Draw16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
JK Tabasalu win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 72.6%
Total expected goals5.04Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 88% · Under 12%
Away share of expected goals 27.4%
Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 73% · No 27%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchParnu JK Vaprus II
DDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchJK Tabasalu
DLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
69%
Win probability excluding draw
15%2
Points from supplied form
43.66
Expected goals
1.38Parnu JK Vaprus IIJK Tabasalu
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Tabasalu FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 69% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Parnu JK Vaprus II win 69%，Draw 16%，JK Tabasalu win 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 5.04 · Over 2.5 88% · Current selection Over。