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EST Eesti esiliiga B · Final ·

Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Tabasalu

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score6–0Ennustus 4–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit69%
Viik16%
Võõrsilvõit15%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit69% selection probability
Projected score4–1Parnu JK Vaprus IIJK Tabasalu
Expected goals5.04Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle88% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah73% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
69% / 16% / 15%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JK Tabasalu win (15.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X84.8%1.18
Üle 88% · Alla 12%Goals 2.5Üle88%1.14
Jah 73% · Ei 27%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah73%1.37
5.04 total expected goalsTäpne skoor4–1
11.0 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapParnu JK Vaprus II winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parnu JK Vaprus II win69%1.451.3367.9%+1.1 pp
Viik16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
JK Tabasalu win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parnu JK Vaprus II3.66

Kodu share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals5.04Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 88% · Alla 12%

JK Tabasalu1.38

Võõras share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJah 73% · Ei 27%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus II

0.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punktid2

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

JK Tabasalu

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalVõõras matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Võit probability excluding draw
15%
2
Points from supplied form
4
3.66
Expected goals
1.38
Parnu JK Vaprus IIJK Tabasalu
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parnu JK Vaprus II signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Tabasalu signalVõõras matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Parnu JK Vaprus II vs JK Tabasalu FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 4–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parnu JK Vaprus II võit 69%,Viik 16%,JK Tabasalu võit 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · Üle 2.5 88% · Current selection Üle