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EST Эстония - Эсилига Б · Final ·

ФК Пярну Вапрус-2 vs ФК Табасалу

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score6–0Прогноз 4–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев69%
Ничья16%
Победа гостей15%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев69% selection probability
Projected score4–1ФК Пярну Вапрус-2ФК Табасалу
Expected goals5.04Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше88% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа73% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
69% / 16% / 15%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Табасалу win (15.2%)Двойной шанс1X84.8%1.18
Больше 88% · Меньше 12%Goals 2.5Больше88%1.14
Да 73% · Нет 27%Обе забьютДа73%1.37
5.04 total expected goalsТочный счёт4–1
11.0 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapФК Пярну Вапрус-2 winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Пярну Вапрус-2 win69%1.451.3367.9%+1.1 pp
Ничья16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
ФК Табасалу win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Пярну Вапрус-23.66

Хозяева share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals5.04Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 88% · Меньше 12%

ФК Табасалу1.38

Гости share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitДа 73% · Нет 27%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Пярну Вапрус-2

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Табасалу

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
15%
2
Points from supplied form
4
3.66
Expected goals
1.38
ФК Пярну Вапрус-2ФК Табасалу
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Пярну Вапрус-2 signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Табасалу signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

ФК Пярну Вапрус-2 vs ФК Табасалу FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 4–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Пярну Вапрус-2 выигрыш 69%,Ничья 16%,ФК Табасалу выигрыш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · ТБ 2.5 88% · Current selection Больше