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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger26%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 31% / 26%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Ulytau win (25.5%)Dubbelchans1X74.5%1.34
Över 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Ja 40% · Nej 60%Båda lagen gör målNej60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FK Kaspyi Aktau win43%2.33
Oavgjort31%3.23
FK Ulytau win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kaspyi Aktau1.31

Hemma share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 35% · Under 65%

FK Ulytau0.79

Borta share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nej 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Kaspyi Aktau

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Ulytau

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kaspyi Aktau signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ulytau signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kaspyi Aktau vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 31%,FK Ulytau vunnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Över 2.5 35% · Current selection Under