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KAZ Kazakhstan Premier League · Round 25 ·

Κάσπι Ακτάου vs FK Ulytau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου49%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου24%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Κάσπι ΑκτάουFK Ulytau
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω65% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
49% / 27% / 24%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Ulytau win (24.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X75.9%1.32
Άνω 35% · Κάτω 65%Goals 2.5Κάτω65%1.54
Ναι 40% · Όχι 60%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapΚάσπι Ακτάου winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Κάσπι Ακτάου win49%2.041.8548.5%+0.5 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
FK Ulytau win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κάσπι Ακτάου1.31

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 35% · Κάτω 65%

FK Ulytau0.79

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 40% · Όχι 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κάσπι Ακτάου

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

FK Ulytau

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
24%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
Κάσπι ΑκτάουFK Ulytau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κάσπι Ακτάου signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ulytau signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Κάσπι Ακτάου vs FK Ulytau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κάσπι Ακτάου νίκη 49%,Ισοπαλία 27%,FK Ulytau νίκη 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Άνω 2.5 35% · Current selection Κάτω