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KAZ Kazahstan - Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde49%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți24%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde49% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub65% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
49% / 27% / 24%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Ulytau win (24.1%)Șansă dublă1X75.9%1.32
Peste 35% · Sub 65%Goals 2.5Sub65%1.54
Da 40% · Nu 60%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFK Kaspyi Aktau winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kaspyi Aktau win49%2.041.8548.5%+0.5 pp
Egal27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
FK Ulytau win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kaspyi Aktau1.31

Gazde share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 35% · Sub 65%

FK Ulytau0.79

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 40% · Nu 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Kaspyi Aktau

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Ulytau

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Câștig probability excluding draw
24%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kaspyi Aktau signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ulytau signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kaspyi Aktau câștig 49%,Egal 27%,FK Ulytau câștig 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Peste 2.5 35% · Current selection Sub