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KAZ Kazachstan - Premier League · Round 25 ·

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.10 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy49%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości24%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy49% selection probability
Projected score1–1FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Expected goals2.10Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej65% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
49% / 27% / 24%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Ulytau win (24.1%)Podwójna szansa1X75.9%1.32
Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%Goals 2.5Poniżej65%1.54
Tak 40% · Nie 60%Obie drużyny strzeląNie60%1.67
2.10 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapFK Kaspyi Aktau winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kaspyi Aktau win49%2.041.8548.5%+0.5 pp
Remis27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
FK Ulytau win24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kaspyi Aktau1.31

Gospodarze share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals2.10Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%

FK Ulytau0.79

Goście share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 40% · Nie 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FK Kaspyi Aktau

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Ulytau

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
24%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.31
Expected goals
0.79
FK Kaspyi AktauFK Ulytau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kaspyi Aktau signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ulytau signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FK Kaspyi Aktau vs FK Ulytau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kaspyi Aktau wygrana 49%,Remis 27%,FK Ulytau wygrana 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.10 · Powyżej 2.5 35% · Current selection Poniżej