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COL Colombia - Primera A · Match ·

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger33%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger35%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
33% / 32% / 35%MatchresultatBortaseger35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Dubbelchans1268%1.47
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
2.16 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapDeportivo Pasto winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Pasto win33%3.032.8832.4%+0.6 pp
Oavgjort32%3.132.9032.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Cali win35%2.862.6335.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Pasto1.21

Hemma share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

Deportivo Cali0.95

Borta share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Deportivo Pasto

0.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poäng0

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Deportivo Cali

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
35%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
0.95
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Pasto signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Cali signalBorta matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Pasto vunnen 33%,Oavgjort 32%,Deportivo Cali vunnen 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under