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COL Colombia - Categoría Primera A · Partido ·

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local33%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante35%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
33% / 32% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32%)Doble Oportunidad1268%1.47
Más de 37% · Menos de 63%Goals 2.5Menos de63%1.59
Sí 44% · No 56%Ambos equipos marcanNo56%1.79
2.16 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapDeportivo Pasto winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Pasto win33%3.032.8832.4%+0.6 pp
Empate32%3.132.9032.2%-0.2 pp
Deportivo Cali win35%2.862.6335.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Pasto1.21

Local share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 37% · Menos de 63%

Deportivo Cali0.95

Visitante share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Deportivo Pasto

0.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puntos0

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Cali

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.21
Expected goals
0.95
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Pasto signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Cali signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Pasto ganada 33%,Empate 32%,Deportivo Cali ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Más de 2.5 37% · Current selection Menos de