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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score1–0Predpoveď 1–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich36%
Remíza30%
Výhra hostí34%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Úspešná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich36% selection probability
Projected score1–1TrofenseSao Joao Ver
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej76% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
36% / 30% / 34%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Dvojitá šanca1270.4%1.42
Viac 24% · Menej 76%Goals 2.5Menej76%1.32
Áno 31% · Nie 69%Oba tímy skórujúNie69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.1 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSao Joao Ver winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trofense win36%2.782.5535.4%+0.6 pp
Remíza30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Sao Joao Ver win34%2.942.5535.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trofense1.06

Domáci share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 24% · Menej 76%

Sao Joao Ver0.64

Hostia share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 31% · Nie 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Trofense

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Sao Joao Ver

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Výhra probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.64
TrofenseSao Joao Ver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trofense signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Joao Ver signalDomáci failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trofense výhra 36%,Remíza 30%,Sao Joao Ver výhra 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Viac 2.5 24% · Current selection Menej