Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 30% / 34%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Double chance1270.4%1.42
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSao Joao Ver winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trofense win36%2.782.5535.4%+0.6 pp
Draw30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Sao Joao Ver win34%2.942.5535.4%-1.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62.4%
Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%
Away share of expected goals 37.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchTrofense
LLDLD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSao Joao Ver
LDWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Win probability excluding draw
34%2
Points from supplied form
101.06
Expected goals
0.64TrofenseSao Joao Ver
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Trofense win 36%，Draw 30%，Sao Joao Ver win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.70 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under。