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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–0Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile36% selection probability
Projected score1–1TrofenseSao Joao Ver
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de76% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 30% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)Double chance1270.4%1.42
Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%Goals 2.5Moins de76%1.32
Oui 31% · Non 69%Les deux équipes marquentNon69%1.45
1.70 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSao Joao Ver winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trofense win36%2.782.5535.4%+0.6 pp
Nul30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
Sao Joao Ver win34%2.942.5535.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trofense1.06

Domicile share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 24% · Moins de 76%

Sao Joao Ver0.64

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 31% · Non 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Trofense

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sao Joao Ver

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.64
TrofenseSao Joao Ver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trofense signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Joao Ver signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Trofense vs Sao Joao Ver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trofense victoire 36%,Nul 30%,Sao Joao Ver victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Plus de 2.5 24% · Current selection Moins de