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INT ポルトガル リーガ3 · Final ·

トロフェンセ vs サン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score1–0予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利36%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利34%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利36% selection probability
Projected score1–1トロフェンセサン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー76% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
36% / 30% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.6%)ダブルチャンス1270.4%1.42
オーバー 24% · アンダー 76%Goals 2.5アンダー76%1.32
はい 31% · いいえ 69%両チーム得点いいえ69%1.45
1.70 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapサン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル winDifference-1.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
トロフェンセ win36%2.782.5535.4%+0.6 pp
引き分け30%3.333.1029.1%+0.9 pp
サン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル win34%2.942.5535.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

トロフェンセ1.06

ホーム share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 24% · アンダー 76%

サン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル0.64

アウェイ share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 31% · いいえ 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

トロフェンセ

0.40pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn2Losses3ポイント2

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

サン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
2
Points from supplied form
10
1.06
Expected goals
0.64
トロフェンセサン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01トロフェンセ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02サン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

トロフェンセ vs サン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

トロフェンセ 勝ち 36%,引き分け 30%,サン・ジョアン・デ・ヴェル 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · オーバー 2.5 24% · Current selection アンダー