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CRI Коста-Рика - Дивизион Примера · Round 3 ·

Эредиано vs Алахуэленсе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей30%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЭредианоАлахуэленсе
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше71% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 33% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Алахуэленсе win (29.8%)Двойной шанс1X70.2%1.42
Больше 29% · Меньше 71%Goals 2.5Меньше71%1.41
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
1.86 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.4 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Эредиано win37%2.70
Ничья33%3.03
Алахуэленсе win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Эредиано1.03

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 29% · Меньше 71%

Алахуэленсе0.83

Гости share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Эредиано

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Алахуэленсе

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.03
Expected goals
0.83
ЭредианоАлахуэленсе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Эредиано signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Алахуэленсе signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Эредиано vs Алахуэленсе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Эредиано выигрыш 37%,Ничья 33%,Алахуэленсе выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · ТБ 2.5 29% · Current selection Меньше