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CRI Κόστα Ρίκα - Πριμέρα Ντιβιζιόν · Round 3 ·

Χερεντιάνο vs Αλαχουελένσε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου37%
Ισοπαλία33%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΧερεντιάνοΑλαχουελένσε
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω71% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
37% / 33% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αλαχουελένσε win (29.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70.2%1.42
Άνω 29% · Κάτω 71%Goals 2.5Κάτω71%1.41
Ναι 37% · Όχι 63%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι63%1.59
1.86 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Χερεντιάνο win37%2.70
Ισοπαλία33%3.03
Αλαχουελένσε win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Χερεντιάνο1.03

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 29% · Κάτω 71%

Αλαχουελένσε0.83

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 37% · Όχι 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Χερεντιάνο

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αλαχουελένσε

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.03
Expected goals
0.83
ΧερεντιάνοΑλαχουελένσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Χερεντιάνο signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αλαχουελένσε signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Χερεντιάνο vs Αλαχουελένσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Χερεντιάνο νίκη 37%,Ισοπαλία 33%,Αλαχουελένσε νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · Άνω 2.5 29% · Current selection Κάτω