MatchFormula 試合を検索
Menu
UTC+8
タイムゾーンAsia/Shanghai
日本語
CRI コスタリカ プリメーラ・ディビシオン · Round 3 ·

エレディアーノ vs アラフエレンセ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利37%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1エレディアーノアラフエレンセ
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー71% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
37% / 33% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アラフエレンセ win (29.8%)ダブルチャンス1X70.2%1.42
オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%Goals 2.5アンダー71%1.41
はい 37% · いいえ 63%両チーム得点いいえ63%1.59
1.86 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.4 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
エレディアーノ win37%2.70
引き分け33%3.03
アラフエレンセ win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

エレディアーノ1.03

ホーム share of expected goals 55.4%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 29% · アンダー 71%

アラフエレンセ0.83

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 37% · いいえ 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

エレディアーノ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アラフエレンセ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.03
Expected goals
0.83
エレディアーノアラフエレンセ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01エレディアーノ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アラフエレンセ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

エレディアーノ vs アラフエレンセ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

エレディアーノ 勝ち 37%,引き分け 33%,アラフエレンセ 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · オーバー 2.5 29% · Current selection アンダー