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SCO Шотландия - Премьершип · Round 1 ·

Хиберниан vs Килмарнок

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.45 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев59%
Ничья23%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев59% selection probability
Projected score2–1ХибернианКилмарнок
Expected goals3.45Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше67% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
59% / 23% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Килмарнок win (18.3%)Двойной шанс1X81.7%1.22
Больше 67% · Меньше 33%Goals 2.5Больше67%1.49
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
3.45 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Хиберниан win59%1.69
Ничья23%4.35
Килмарнок win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Хиберниан2.48

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals3.45Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 67% · Меньше 33%

Килмарнок0.97

Гости share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Хиберниан

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Килмарнок

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.48
Expected goals
0.97
ХибернианКилмарнок
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Хиберниан signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Килмарнок signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Хиберниан vs Килмарнок FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Хиберниан выигрыш 59%,Ничья 23%,Килмарнок выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · ТБ 2.5 67% · Current selection Больше