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SCO スコットランド プレミアシップ · Round 1 ·

ハイバーニアン vs キルマーノック

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.45 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利59%
引き分け23%
アウェイ勝利18%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利59% selection probability
Projected score2–1ハイバーニアンキルマーノック
Expected goals3.45始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー67% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
59% / 23% / 18%試合結果ホーム勝利59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes キルマーノック win (18.3%)ダブルチャンス1X81.7%1.22
オーバー 67% · アンダー 33%Goals 2.5オーバー67%1.49
はい 57% · いいえ 43%両チーム得点はい57%1.75
3.45 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.1 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ハイバーニアン win59%1.69
引き分け23%4.35
キルマーノック win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ハイバーニアン2.48

ホーム share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals3.45始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 67% · アンダー 33%

キルマーノック0.97

アウェイ share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 57% · いいえ 43%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ハイバーニアン

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

キルマーノック

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
勝ち probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.48
Expected goals
0.97
ハイバーニアンキルマーノック
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ハイバーニアン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02キルマーノック signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

ハイバーニアン vs キルマーノック FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ハイバーニアン 勝ち 59%,引き分け 23%,キルマーノック 勝ち 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · オーバー 2.5 67% · Current selection オーバー