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SCO Шотландия - Висша Лига · Round 1 ·

Хибърниън vs Килмарнък

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.45 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина59%
Равен23%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина59% selection probability
Projected score2–1ХибърниънКилмарнък
Expected goals3.45Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над67% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
59% / 23% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Килмарнък win (18.3%)Двоен шанс1X81.7%1.22
Над 67% · Под 33%Goals 2.5Над67%1.49
Да 57% · Не 43%И двата отбора да отбележатДа57%1.75
3.45 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Хибърниън win59%1.69
Равен23%4.35
Килмарнък win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Хибърниън2.48

Домакин share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals3.45Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 67% · Под 33%

Килмарнък0.97

Гост share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Не 43%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Хибърниън

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Килмарнък

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.48
Expected goals
0.97
ХибърниънКилмарнък
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Хибърниън signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Килмарнък signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Хибърниън vs Килмарнък FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Хибърниън печеливш 59%,Равен 23%,Килмарнък печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Над 2.5 67% · Current selection Над