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SCO Σκωτία - Πρέμιερσιπ · Round 1 ·

Χιμπέρνιαν vs Κιλμάρνοκ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.45 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου59%
Ισοπαλία23%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου18%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου59% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΧιμπέρνιανΚιλμάρνοκ
Expected goals3.45Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω67% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
59% / 23% / 18%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Κιλμάρνοκ win (18.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X81.7%1.22
Άνω 67% · Κάτω 33%Goals 2.5Άνω67%1.49
Ναι 57% · Όχι 43%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57%1.75
3.45 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Χιμπέρνιαν win59%1.69
Ισοπαλία23%4.35
Κιλμάρνοκ win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Χιμπέρνιαν2.48

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 71.9%

Total expected goals3.45Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 67% · Κάτω 33%

Κιλμάρνοκ0.97

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 28.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 57% · Όχι 43%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Χιμπέρνιαν

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Κιλμάρνοκ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.48
Expected goals
0.97
ΧιμπέρνιανΚιλμάρνοκ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Χιμπέρνιαν signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Κιλμάρνοκ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Χιμπέρνιαν vs Κιλμάρνοκ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Χιμπέρνιαν νίκη 59%,Ισοπαλία 23%,Κιλμάρνοκ νίκη 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.45 · Άνω 2.5 67% · Current selection Άνω