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SCO Σκωτία - Πρέμιερσιπ · Round 1 ·

Μάδεργουελ vs Αμπερντίν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου57%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου17%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΜάδεργουελΑμπερντίν
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω56% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
57% / 26% / 17%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Αμπερντίν win (16.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X83.3%1.20
Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%Goals 2.5Κάτω56%1.79
Ναι 38% · Όχι 62%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62%1.61
2.44 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Μάδεργουελ win57%1.75
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Αμπερντίν win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μάδεργουελ1.84

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%

Αμπερντίν0.60

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 38% · Όχι 62%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μάδεργουελ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Αμπερντίν

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
0.60
ΜάδεργουελΑμπερντίν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μάδεργουελ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Αμπερντίν signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Μάδεργουελ vs Αμπερντίν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μάδεργουελ νίκη 57%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Αμπερντίν νίκη 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Άνω 2.5 44% · Current selection Κάτω