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SCO 蘇格蘭超級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

馬瑟維爾 vs 阿伯丁

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝57%
26%
客勝17%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝57% selection probability
Projected score2–1馬瑟維爾阿伯丁
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
57% / 26% / 17%比賽結果主勝57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 阿伯丁 win (16.7%)雙重機會1X83.3%1.20
大 44% · 小 56%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 38% · 否 62%雙方進球62%1.61
2.44 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.4 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
馬瑟維爾 win57%1.75
26%3.85
阿伯丁 win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

馬瑟維爾1.84

主隊 share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 44% · 56%

阿伯丁0.60

客隊 share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 38% · 62%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

馬瑟維爾

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

阿伯丁

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
贏 probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
0.60
馬瑟維爾阿伯丁
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01馬瑟維爾 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02阿伯丁 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

馬瑟維爾 vs 阿伯丁 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

馬瑟維爾 57%, 26%,阿伯丁 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · 大2.5 44% · Current selection