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SCO スコットランド プレミアシップ · Round 1 ·

マザーウェル vs アバディーン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.44 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利57%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利17%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利57% selection probability
Projected score2–1マザーウェルアバディーン
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
57% / 26% / 17%試合結果ホーム勝利57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アバディーン win (16.7%)ダブルチャンス1X83.3%1.20
オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%Goals 2.5アンダー56%1.79
はい 38% · いいえ 62%両チーム得点いいえ62%1.61
2.44 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
マザーウェル win57%1.75
引き分け26%3.85
アバディーン win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

マザーウェル1.84

ホーム share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%

アバディーン0.60

アウェイ share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 38% · いいえ 62%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

マザーウェル

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アバディーン

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
勝ち probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
0.60
マザーウェルアバディーン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01マザーウェル signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アバディーン signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

マザーウェル vs アバディーン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

マザーウェル 勝ち 57%,引き分け 26%,アバディーン 勝ち 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · オーバー 2.5 44% · Current selection アンダー