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SCO Шотландия - Премьершип · Round 1 ·

Фалкирк vs Хартс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.65 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев25%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей47%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей47% selection probability
Projected score1–2ФалкиркХартс
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
25% / 28% / 47%Исход матчаПобеда гостей47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Фалкирк win (25.2%)Двойной шансX274.8%1.34
Больше 49% · Меньше 51%Goals 2.5Меньше51%1.96
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Фалкирк win25%4.00
Ничья28%3.57
Хартс win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Фалкирк0.97

Хозяева share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 49% · Меньше 51%

Хартс1.68

Гости share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Фалкирк

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хартс

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.68
ФалкиркХартс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Фалкирк signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хартс signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Фалкирк vs Хартс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Фалкирк выигрыш 25%,Ничья 28%,Хартс выигрыш 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · ТБ 2.5 49% · Current selection Меньше