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SCO Écosse - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Falkirk vs Hearts

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.65 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur47%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur47% selection probability
Projected score1–2FalkirkHearts
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 28% / 47%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkirk win (25.2%)Double chanceX274.8%1.34
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Falkirk win25%4.00
Nul28%3.57
Hearts win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Falkirk0.97

Domicile share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

Hearts1.68

Extérieur share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Falkirk

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Hearts

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.68
FalkirkHearts
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Falkirk signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hearts signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Falkirk vs Hearts FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Falkirk victoire 25%,Nul 28%,Hearts victoire 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de