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SCO Skottland - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Falkirk vs Hearts

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.65 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger25%
Oavgjort28%
Bortaseger47%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger47% selection probability
Projected score1–2FalkirkHearts
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
25% / 28% / 47%MatchresultatBortaseger47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Falkirk win (25.2%)DubbelchansX274.8%1.34
Över 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Falkirk win25%4.00
Oavgjort28%3.57
Hearts win47%2.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Falkirk0.97

Hemma share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 49% · Under 51%

Hearts1.68

Borta share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Falkirk

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Hearts

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
47%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.68
FalkirkHearts
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Falkirk signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hearts signalBorta matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Falkirk vs Hearts FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Falkirk vunnen 25%,Oavgjort 28%,Hearts vunnen 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Över 2.5 49% · Current selection Under