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USA USA USL Championship · Матч ·

Питтсбург Риверхаундс vs Сакраменто Репаблик

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Питтсбург РиверхаундсСакраменто Репаблик
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше78% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 31% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сакраменто Репаблик win (28.7%)Двойной шанс1X71.3%1.40
Больше 22% · Меньше 78%Goals 2.5Меньше78%1.28
Да 31% · Нет 69%Обе забьютНет69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Питтсбург Риверхаундс win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Сакраменто Репаблик win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Питтсбург Риверхаундс0.76

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 22% · Меньше 78%

Сакраменто Репаблик0.86

Гости share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 31% · Нет 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Питтсбург Риверхаундс

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сакраменто Репаблик

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Питтсбург РиверхаундсСакраменто Репаблик
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Питтсбург Риверхаундс signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сакраменто Репаблик signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Питтсбург Риверхаундс vs Сакраменто Репаблик FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Питтсбург Риверхаундс выигрыш 41%,Ничья 31%,Сакраменто Репаблик выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · ТБ 2.5 22% · Current selection Меньше