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USA USA USL Championship · Maç ·

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır41%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır29%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt78% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
41% / 31% / 29%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sacramento Republic win (28.7%)Çifte Şans1X71.3%1.40
Üst 22% · Alt 78%Goals 2.5Alt78%1.28
Evet 31% · Hayır 69%Karşılıklı gol varHayır69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Beraberlik31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Sacramento Republic win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.76

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 22% · Alt 78%

Sacramento Republic0.86

Deplasman share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 31% · Hayır 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sacramento Republic signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds kazanç 41%,Beraberlik 31%,Sacramento Republic kazanç 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · 2.5 Üst 22% · Current selection Alt