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USA USA USL Championship · Partita ·

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa41%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite29%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto78% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
41% / 31% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sacramento Republic win (28.7%)Doppia Chance1X71.3%1.40
Sopra 22% · Sotto 78%Goals 2.5Sotto78%1.28
Sì 31% · No 69%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Pareggio31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Sacramento Republic win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.76

Casa share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 22% · Sotto 78%

Sacramento Republic0.86

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sacramento Republic signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vinta 41%,Pareggio 31%,Sacramento Republic vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Sopra 2.5 22% · Current selection Sotto