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USA USA USL Championship · Wedstrijd ·

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder78% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 31% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sacramento Republic win (28.7%)Dubbele Kans1X71.3%1.40
Boven 22% · Onder 78%Goals 2.5Onder78%1.28
Ja 31% · Nee 69%Beide teams scorenNee69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Sacramento Republic win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.76

Thuis share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 22% · Onder 78%

Sacramento Republic0.86

Uit share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nee 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sacramento Republic signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 31%,Sacramento Republic gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Boven 2.5 22% · Current selection Onder