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USA USA USL Championship · Partido ·

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local41%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de78% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
41% / 31% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sacramento Republic win (28.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X71.3%1.40
Más de 22% · Menos de 78%Goals 2.5Menos de78%1.28
Sí 31% · No 69%Ambos equipos marcanNo69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win41%2.442.1541.9%-0.9 pp
Empate31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Sacramento Republic win29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.76

Local share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 22% · Menos de 78%

Sacramento Republic0.86

Visitante share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sacramento Republic signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds ganada 41%,Empate 31%,Sacramento Republic ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Más de 2.5 22% · Current selection Menos de