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USA USA USL Championship · Wedstrijd ·

Las Vegas Lights FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Las Vegas Lights FCPittsburgh Riverhounds
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder70% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 33% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pittsburgh Riverhounds win (31.7%)Dubbele Kans1X68.3%1.46
Boven 30% · Onder 70%Goals 2.5Onder70%1.43
Ja 38% · Nee 62%Beide teams scorenNee62%1.61
1.91 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Las Vegas Lights FC win35%2.86
Gelijkspel33%3.03
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Las Vegas Lights FC1.01

Thuis share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 30% · Onder 70%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.90

Uit share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nee 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Las Vegas Lights FC

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.01
Expected goals
0.90
Las Vegas Lights FCPittsburgh Riverhounds
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Las Vegas Lights FC signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Las Vegas Lights FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Las Vegas Lights FC gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 33%,Pittsburgh Riverhounds gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Boven 2.5 30% · Current selection Onder