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USA USA USL Championship · Wedstrijd ·

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 26% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dubbele Kans1274.4%1.34
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapMiami FC winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Miami FC win40%2.502.2040.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Las Vegas Lights FC win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miami FC1.39

Thuis share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Las Vegas Lights FC1.34

Uit share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Miami FC

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Las Vegas Lights FC

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
1.34
Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miami FC signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Las Vegas Lights FC signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miami FC gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 26%,Las Vegas Lights FC gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven