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USA USA USL Championship · Mecz ·

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy38%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości36%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
38% / 26% / 36%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Podwójna szansa1273.9%1.35
Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%Goals 2.5Powyżej51%1.96
Tak 56% · Nie 44%Obie drużyny strzeląTak56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapMiami FC winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Miami FC win38%2.632.3537.7%+0.3 pp
Remis26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
Las Vegas Lights FC win36%2.782.4536.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miami FC1.39

Gospodarze share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 51% · Poniżej 49%

Las Vegas Lights FC1.34

Goście share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Miami FC

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Las Vegas Lights FC

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGoście clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
1.34
Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miami FC signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Las Vegas Lights FC signalGoście clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miami FC wygrana 38%,Remis 26%,Las Vegas Lights FC wygrana 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Powyżej 2.5 51% · Current selection Powyżej