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USA USA USL Championship · Zápas ·

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich35%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí39%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac51% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
35% / 26% / 39%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Dvojitá šanca1273.7%1.36
Viac 51% · Menej 49%Goals 2.5Viac51%1.96
Áno 56% · Nie 44%Oba tímy skórujúÁno56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Miami FC win35%2.862.5535%0.0 pp
Remíza26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Las Vegas Lights FC win39%2.562.3038.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miami FC1.39

Domáci share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 51% · Menej 49%

Las Vegas Lights FC1.34

Hostia share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Miami FC

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Las Vegas Lights FC

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalHostia clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Výhra probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
1.34
Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miami FC signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Las Vegas Lights FC signalHostia clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miami FC výhra 35%,Remíza 26%,Las Vegas Lights FC výhra 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Viac 2.5 51% · Current selection Viac