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USA USA USL Championship · Partita ·

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa35%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite39%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
35% / 26% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Doppia Chance1273.7%1.36
Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%Goals 2.5Sopra51%1.96
Sì 56% · No 44%Entrambe le squadre segnano56%1.79
2.73 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Miami FC win35%2.862.5535%0.0 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.4026.2%-0.2 pp
Las Vegas Lights FC win39%2.562.3038.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miami FC1.39

Casa share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 51% · Sotto 49%

Las Vegas Lights FC1.34

Trasferta share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Miami FC

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Las Vegas Lights FC

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.39
Expected goals
1.34
Miami FCLas Vegas Lights FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miami FC signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Las Vegas Lights FC signalTrasferta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Miami FC vs Las Vegas Lights FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miami FC vinta 35%,Pareggio 26%,Las Vegas Lights FC vinta 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Sopra 2.5 51% · Current selection Sopra